A newly released survey focusing on all initiatives on the Nov. 6 California ballot finds voters overwhelmingly supporting Proposition 30, the CTA-backed measure sponsored by Gov. Jerry Brown that would raise income taxes on the wealthy and temporarily boost the sales tax to stave off more than $6 billion in trigger cuts to public education. The survey finds the Brown initiative with a 56.2-39.2% positive margin.
The survey found little support for Proposition 38, the competing tax initiative sponsored by Wealthy Civil Rights Attorney Molly Munger, which is trailing 35.0-54.2%.
The results were released Thursday morning by representatives of the California Business Roundtable and researchers from Pepperdine University during a news teleconference highlighting their first edition of their on-line polling for all initiatives. The organizations said they would be providing updated surveys twice a month.
The early polling shows 60-28.9% support for CTA-opposed Proposition 32, the measure that would further tilt the political landscape in favor of wealthy special interests that already outspend labor unions by a 15 to one ratio.
Researchers cautioned that the polling is early, prior to the full implementation of efforts by a coalition of labor, educator, and public interest groups to educate the public about the real intent, sponsors, and impact of the CTA-opposed initiative.
“At this point the campaign hasn’t really launched. People are reading initiative [title] without any other information. I do expect that number to change. Things tend to get tighter as the election come closer. ….this is people’s initial response to it without any other context,” said Dr. Michael Shires, of Pepperdine.
Opponents of Proposition 32 noted that “It’s not surprising that the first poll shows a large margin. This is where these initiatives have always started, but once voters learn the
deceptive nature of these proposals, they reject them. They will do the same with Prop 32.”
“Proposition 32 is not what it seems. It does not
level the political playing field, but actually creates special exemptions for big
corporate special interests to write their own set of rules. Under Proposition 32, these corporate special interests would be able to continue spending as much money has they want on elections, but the measure’s provisions will restrict teachers and
“When voters come to see Proposition 32 for the deceptive measure it is, they will reject it, just as they have the earlier similar measures put before them in past elections.”
Of those 800 persons included in the survey, 133 reported they have a family member in a public sector union. Another 63 said a family member was in a private sector union, and 18 reported family members in both public and private sector unions. The vast majority of the respondents, 598 of those polled, said no one in their family belonged to a union.
Pepperdine researchers insisted that the survey uses new technology – not phone calling – that is cross-referenced to ensure a group of roughly 800-900 representative survey takers for each poll.